Personal Page: Dr. Jeroen van der Sluijs

Dr. Jeroen P. van der Sluijs (1965)
Quick links: publication list or find PPT of recent lecture or Download recent CV - Scopus ID - ResearcherID

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Main address: Utrecht University - Copernicus Institute - Division Science, Technology and Society (Department of Chemistry, Faculty of Science), Heidelberglaan 2, 3584 CS, Utrecht, The Netherlands. Email: J.P.vanderSluijs@uu.nl, Room: 10.01, Van Unnikgebouw. Tel: +31-30-2537631 / 00, Fax: +31-30-2537601.

CURRENT POSITIONS:

Assistant Professor/Senior Researcher (tenured term) Division Science, Technology and Society (STS), Copernicus Institute, Utrecht University. Coordinator Research Cluster Energy and Global Change: Dealing with Risks and Uncertainties.

Invited Professor at REEDS Recherches en Economie-Ecologie, Eco-innovation et ingénierie du Développement Soutenable, Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines.

KEY PUBLICATIONS

  1. J.P. van der Sluijs, A.C. Petersen, P.H.M. Janssen, James S Risbey and Jerome R. Ravetz (2008). Exploring the quality of evidence for complex and contested policy decisions, Environmental Research Letters, 3 024008 (9pp)
  2. J.P. van der Sluijs, M. Kaiser, S. Beder, V. Hosle, A. Kemelmajer, A. Kinzig (2005). UNESCO COMEST Report The Precautionary Principle (French translation available: Le principe de précaution)
  3. Jeroen P. van der Sluijs, Matthieu Craye, Silvio Funtowicz, Penny Kloprogge, Jerry Ravetz, and James Risbey (2005). Combining Quantitative and Qualitative Measures of Uncertainty in Model based Environmental Assessment: the NUSAP System, Risk Analysis, 25 (2). p. 481-492
  4. J.P. van der Sluijs, J.C.M. van Eijndhoven, B. Wynne, and S. Shackley (1998), Anchoring Devices in Science For Policy: The Case of Consensus Around Climate Sensitivity, Social Studies of Science, vol 28, 2, p. 291-323.

NEW (selection):

New Reports:

For more publications see full publication list below.

Note: after clicking it can take some minutes before the video starts...POST NORMAL SCIENCE VIDEO LECTURE:

An introductory lecture "Post Normal Science, working deliberatively within imperfections" is now available online at WUR TV. The lecture was held at Studium Generale of Wageningen University on 21 March 2007.

Click here to see the lecture on WUR TV with smart navigation through the slides (requires Internet Explorer), please note that after clicking the link it takes some minutes for the video to start.

Alternatively, the wmv video/podcast of the lecture and the slides can be downloaded seperately.

A post normal science letcure in Dutch (with slides handout) is also available (Studium Generale Utrecht lecture 21 October 2009).

RESEARCH CAREER

  • 2001 - present, Assistant Professor/Senior Researcher (tenured term) Department of Science, Technology and Society (STS), Copernicus Institute, Utrecht University.
  • 2004-present Invited Professor (Knowledge Quality Assessment) at REEDS Recherches en Economie-Ecologie, Eco-innovation et ingénierie du Développement Soutenable (formerly known as C3ED) Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines
  • 1997-2000 Junior lecturer Department of Science, Technology and Society, Utrecht University
  • 1996 YSSP Fellow, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria.
  • 1992-1996 Ph.D. candidate - (coping with uncertainty in climate risk assessment models), Department of Science, Technology and Society, Utrecht University.
  • 1991 Junior researcher, Department of Science, Technology and Society, Utrecht University.
  • 1990 MSc Geobiochemistry, Leiden University, The Netherlands

University Qualifications and in-company trainings:

  • Senior Qualification Education (WP-FLOW SKO Senior Lecturer), granted June 2008
  • Senior Qualification Research (WP-FLOW SKO Senior Researcher), granted March 2005.
  • Training "Supervising and coaching of Ph.D. students" (2004)
  • Training "Presentation techniques" (Boertien en Partners) (2003)
  • Training in "PGO education methods" (Problem Directed Education, Maastricht University) (2000)
  • Base Qualification Education (WP-FLOW BKO Lecturer), granted January 1999.

OTHER WEBSITES ABOUT MY WORK:

  • www.nusap.net (Open web community on robust knowledge for sustainability)
SPECIFIC EXPERTISE: Uncertainty management, Knowledge Quality Assessment, NUSAP, Uncertainty methods, Precautionary Principle, Climate Risk Assessment, Expert elicitation, Stakeholder elicitation, Participatory Integrated Assessment

SCIENTIFIC POSITIONS

  • Co-ordinator of research cluster Energy and Global Change: Dealing with Risks and Uncertainties within the program Energy for Sustainable Development, Copernicus Institute, Utrecht University.
  • Editor in Chief of www.nusap.net (2001-...)
  • Member and rapporteur of the UNESCO COMEST Expert Group on the Precautionary Principle (2004/2005)
  • Member of The Integrated Assessment Society (TIAS) (2005-present)
  • Member of the advisory board of www.postnormaltimes.net
  • Member of the work team "Knowledge, Uncertainty, Complexity and Values" of the Worldwide Virtual Network Of Young Practitioners Working On Science And Society Issues. (http://alba.jrc.it/ibss/)
  • Member of the ERICA End User Group (Environmental Risk from Ionising Contaminants: Assessment and Management, a EU FP6 project).
  • Member of the advisory board of the ALARM project (Assessing LArge scale Risks for biodiversity with tested Methods, EU-FP6)
  • Member / advisor of the UK Flood Risk Management Research Consortium
  • Member of the steering committee and the program committee of the international conference "Uncertainty and Precaution in Environmental Management" (UPEM).
  • Member of the European Forum on Integrated Environmental Assessment (EFIEA-I and II) Concerted Action Program (1998-2005)
  • 2001: Initiator of a EU-FP6 Expression of Interest for a Network of Excellence on the Management of Uncertainty in Science for Sustainability (submitted jointly with 18 core partners plus 40 associated partners).
  • (co)Organizer of several international workshops and conferences in the field of uncertainty assessment, including:
    • 9-11 December 2004 Expert Workshop Uncertainty Communication. Utrecht.
    • 7-9 June 2004 Uncertainty and Precaution in Environmental Management (UPEM). Copenhagen. (member of steering committee; member of programme committee)
    • 27-28 November 2003, JRC Workshop Interfaces between Science and Society. Milano (break out session on Uncertainty, Assumptions and Value Commitments in Environmental Assessment.)
    • 22 October 2003, EEA Workshop on Uncertainty Guidance, Copenhagen
    • 25 June 2003, Uncertainty in environmental health risk science and policy, Antwerp (I chaired one of the parallel sessions).
    • 11 November 2002, Managing Uncertainty in science for suSTainability: future research challenges for Europe, side event workshop at the start conference of the 6th Framework Programme: "European Research 2002, The European Research Area and the Framework Programme", Brussels, 11-12-13 November 2002 .
    • 22 November 2001, De Bilt, User workshop "Guidance for uncertainty management in Environmental Assessment" RIVM (In close collaboration with the RIVM ).
    • 25 October 2001, Utrecht The Netherlands: International Expert workshop "Uncertainty management in Environmental Assessment"
    • 12-13 June 2001: NUSAP workshop Uncertainty Assessment TIMER model, Loosdrecht, The Netherlands.
      International Expert Workshop Uncertainty Communication, Utrecht, 10 December 2004

CURRENT RESEARCH ACTIVITIES:
The research cluster Energy and Global Change: Dealing with Risks and Uncertainties that I established and lead within STS and the Copernicus Institute, aims at conceptual work on uncertainty in model based environmental risk assessment, along with the (further) development of methodologies that facilitate a better management of uncertainty, quality, plurality and value judgements in risk assessment, integrated environmental assessment, and sustainability assessment. We focus on those situations where scientific assessment is used as a basis for policy making on environmental risks, before conclusive scientific evidence and scientific consensus are available on the causal relationships, the magnitude and the probabilities of these risks. Policy decisions on such risks (e.g. climate change) cannot wait until the scientific understanding is complete, thus the knowledge base available for decision making is unavoidably incomplete, controversial and uncertain and in this setting unquantifiable uncertainties are often more important than quantifiable ones. This poses high demands on the ways uncertainties and dissent are dealt with in scientific assessment and how these are communicated to policy makers and society. My program aims to develop new multidisciplinary and deliberative tools and strategies for coping explicitly with scientific uncertainty and scientific controversy in science for policy, that meet these high demands.

The programme objectives are:

  • Analysis of, and theory development on the processes of knowledge production and utilization in the science policy society interface regarding sustainable development and risks;
  • Developing, demonstrating, and applying methods, instruments and strategies for uncertainty management, quality control, and extended peer involvement. A starting point here is the NUSAP-system for multi-dimensional uncertainty assessment, taking into account the technical, methodological, epistemological and societal dimensions of uncertainty;
  • Development of improved integrated strategies for effective communication of risks and uncertainties

My research program is part of the Energy for Sustainable Development program of the Copernicus Institute: theme "Energy and global change: dealing with risks and uncertainties " which I coordinate and (co-)lead, together with prof.dr. Bert de Vries. Two areas are addressed under this theme:

  1. Formal and participatory models and methods for integrated assessment of sustainability and or innovation issues (led by Prof.dr. Bert de Vries);
  2. Tools for multidimensional uncertainty assessment, risk assessment, and strategies for risk and uncertainty management and communication (led by me).

Major achievements of my program in the past 5 years have been:

(i) Development, demonstration and testing of the NUSAP method for multidimensional uncertainty assessment to a variety of cases including RIVM's IMAGE/TIMER Energy model. In 2005, an overview article of our experiences with the NUSAP method in various cases and projects was published in Risk Analysis. Together with TNO-MEP we have conducted a comprehensive NUSAP-based uncertainty assessment of NOx, SO2 and NH3 emissions in the Netherlands, using our NUSAP methodology.

 

The RIVM/MNP Uncertainty Guidance: a checklist approach
(ii) Development under my leadership of a state of the art Guidance for uncertainty assessment and communication for the RIVM-MNP. The guidance we developed used inputs from about twenty international top scientists in the field and we also organised, jointly with RIVM, a peer review of the guidance materials. Since the end of 2003 the guidance is a standard in the RIVM/MNP. It has attracted worldwide attention from inter alia the US Environmental Protection Agency (US-EPA), the European Environmental Agency (EEA) and the Inter Governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). With these and other groups we are exploring the opportunities to start joint projects and collaborations in this field. This has already lead to a collaboration with the US-EPA, and ad-hoc collaborations with the UK Flood Risk Management Research Consortium and the EU HarmoniCa project on the EU Water Framework Directive, who both involved us in their own projects to develop Uncertainty Analysis Guidance Documents (example).
At present we do a project for MNP on Uncertainty Communication, using the Utrecht Policy Laboratory.

(iii) Development demonstration and testing of a checklist for model quality assistance (together with dr. James Risbey and others). The work is published in the journal Environmental Modeling & Assessment. A web-based interactive version of the checklist has been implemented and is available on the www.nusap.net;

(iv) The Ph.D. work by Penny Kloprogge, aiming at the analysis and development of strategies to (better) manage value-ladenness in Integrated Assessment Modelling of climate change. Kloprogge made an analysis of the various ways in which stakeholder knowledge and perspectives have been included in integrated assessment modeling practice. She participated in the IIASA Young Scientist Summer Programme 2001, during which she studied the roles of value ladenness and (subjective) choice in the process of building assessment models, based on a large number of in-depth interviews with modelers at IIASA. Building further on these insights she developed in close collaboration with the RIVM an innovative method for the systematic review and critical appraisal of assumptions in model based foresight studies. The method has been demonstrated and tested on two environmental indicators from RIVM's 5th Environmental Outlook (EO5) and is now included in the tool catalogue of the RIVM/MNP Guidance on Uncertainty Assessment and Communication. One article is accpeted for publication in Climatic Change, three other journal articles are in preparation.

(v) The Ph.D. theses of Dr. Heleen Groenenberg (2002), Convergence and Development, a bottom-up analysis for the differentiation of future commitments under the Climate Convention. Three peer reviewed journal articles were published;

(vi) The joint writing and publishing with an international group of uncertainty experts of a state of the art conceptual paper "Defining Uncertainty: A conceptual Basis for Uncertainty Management in Model Based Decision Support" (Walker et al., 2003) in the journal Integrated Assessment. The paper presents a typology for uncertainty in the form of a matrix that distinguishes between location (context, model, inputs, parameters or model outcomes) and level (statistical uncertainty, scenario uncertainty, recognized ignorance) and nature (epistemic versus variability uncertainty).

(vii) The publication of the book Learning to Manage Global Environmental Risks, a functional analysis of social responses to climate change, ozone depletion, and acid rain, a two volume 600 page peer reviewed book. I co-authored 3 of the 22 chapters of the book. The book the book is co-edited by a then member of our group (Prof. Dr. Josee van Eijndhoven) and presents the findings of a major 4 year international research program.

(viii) regular invited key-note presentations on international conferences

CURRENT PROJECTS

    Empirical research in the Utrecht Policy Lab: What are (in environmental assessment studies) good ways to communicate uncertainty information to policy makers?
  • Resilience based strategies for climate adaptation (KvK & PBL)
  • Climate Proofing the Netherlands (PBL)
  • Uncertainty in health risk assessment of electromagnetic fields from overhead power lines (Kennisplatform EMV)
  • Understanding the Climate Change Controversy (Rathenau Institute & UU)
  • Health impacts of Climate Change: relevance for adaptation policies (PBL)
  • Uncertainty and Climate Adaptation (MNP)
  • Global System Dynamics and Policies (GSD)
  • INTARESE (EU)
  • APHEKOM (EU)
  • Uncertainty Communication (PBL / RIVM)

CLIENTS
Consultancy and (inter)national assessment studies have been done for inter alia the following clients:
IIASA (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis), SEI (Stockholm Environmental Institute), Rathenau Institute, EC-JRC (European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Ispra); US-EPA, RIVM (National Institute of Public Health and the Environment, The Netherlands), MNP, VROMRaad (Advisory Council of the Ministry of Housing Physical Planning and Environment, The Netherlands), SENTER NOVEM.
COURSES TAUGHT

PUBLICATION LIST Dr Jeroen P. van der Sluijs

1. Ph.D. Thesis

J.P. van der Sluijs, Anchoring amid uncertainty; On the management of uncertainties in risk assessment of anthropogenic climate change, Ph.D. Thesis, Universiteit Utrecht, 1997, 260 pp.

2. Articles in peer reviewed scientific journals

P. Kloprogge, J.P. van der Sluijs and A.C. Petersen (in press). A method for the analysis of assumptions in model-based environmental assessments Environmental Modelling & Software
Doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2009.06.009

J. de Boer, J.A. Wardekker, J.P. van der Sluijs (2010), Frame-based guide to situated decision-making on climate change, Global Environmental Change 20 (3) 502-510.

J.A. Wardekker, A. de Jong, J.M. Knoop and J.P. van der Sluijs (2010), Operationalising a resilience approach to adapting an urban delta to uncertain climate changes, Technological Forecasting and Social Change 77 (6), 987-998.

A.B. Knol, P. Slottje, J.P. van der Sluijs, E. Lebret (2010), The use of expert elicitation in environmental health impact assessment: a seven step procedure, Environmental Health 9:19.

Bas van Ruijven, Jeroen P. van der Sluijs, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Peter Janssen, Peter S. C. Heuberger and Bert de Vries (2010), Uncertainty from model calibration: applying a new method to transport energy demand modelling, Enivronmental Modelling & Assessment 15 (3) 175-188.

H.A.C. Runhaar, P.P.J. Driessen, L. van Bree, and J.P. van der Sluijs (2010), A meta-level analysis of major trends in environmental health risk governance Journal of Risk Research, 13 (3).

L. Maxim and J.P. van der Sluijs (2010) Expert explanations of honeybee losses in areas of extensive agriculture in France: Gaucho® compared with other supposed causal factors. Environmental Research Letters, 5 (1) 014006 (12pp)

Gerard Hoek, Hanna Boogaard, Anne Knol, Jeroen de Hartog, Pauline Slottje, Jon G Ayres, Paul Borm, Bert Brunekreef, Ken Donaldson, Francesco Forastiere, Stephen Holgate, Wolfgang G. Kreyling, Benoit Nemery, Juha Pekkanen, Vicky Stone, H.-Erich Wichmann, Jeroen van der Sluijs (2010), Concentration Response Functions for Ultrafine Particles and All-Cause Mortality and Hospital Admissions: Results of a European Expert Panel Elicitation, Environmental Science and Technology, 44 (1), 476–482, DOI: 10.1021/es9021393

Bas van Ruijven, Bert de Vries, Detlef van Vuuren, Jeroen van der Sluijs (2010), A global model for residential energy use: Uncertainty in calibration to regional data, Energy 35, 269-282.

J.A. Wardekker, A.C Petersen, J.P. van der Sluijs (2009), Ethics and public perception of climate change: Exploring the Christian voices in the US public debate. Global Environmental Change, 19 (4) 512-521.

Anne Knol, Jeroen de Hartog, Hanna Boogaard, Pauline Slottje, Jeroen van der Sluijs, Erik Lebret, Flemming Cassee, Arjan Wardekker, Jon Ayres, Paul Borm, Bert Brunekreef, Ken Donaldson, Francesco Forastiere, Stephen Holgate, Wolfgang Kreyling, Benoit Nemery, Juha Pekkanen, Vicky Stone, Erich Wichmann, Gerard Hoek (2009).Expert elicitation on health effects related to exposure to ultrafine particles: likelihood of causality and causal pathways, Part Fibre.Toxicology 6:19
doi: 10.1186/1743-8977-6-19

A. Knol, A.C. Petersen, J.P. van der Sluijs and E. Lebret (2009), Dealing with uncertainties: The case of environmental burden of disease assessment, Environmental Health 8:21.

J.P. van der Sluijs, A.C. Petersen, P.H.M. Janssen, James S Risbey and Jerome R. Ravetz (2008), Exploring the quality of evidence for complex and contested policy decisions, Environmental Research Letters, 3 024008 (9pp)

Wardekker, J.A., J.P. van der Sluijs, P.H.M. Janssen, P. Kloprogge, A.C. Petersen (2008). "Uncertainty Communication in Environmental Assessments: Views from the Dutch Science-Policy interface". Environmental Science & Policy, 11, 627-641. doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2008.05.005

M.K. von Krauss, M Kaiser, V Almaas, J.P. van der Sluijs and P Kloprogge (2008), Diagnosing & Communicating Scientific Uncertainty: a Case Study of Transgene Silencing, Science of the Total Environment, 390, 23-34.

A. Ramirez, C. de Keizer, J.P. van der Sluijs, J. Olivier, L. Brandes (2008), Monte Carlo Analysis Of Uncertainties In The Netherlands Greenhouse Gas Emission Inventory For 1990-2004, Atmospheric Environment, 42 (35) 8263-8272. doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2008.07.059

Bas van Ruijven, Frauke Urban , René M.J. Benders , Henri C. Moll, Jeroen van der Sluijs, Bert de Vries and Detlef P. van Vuuren (2008), Modeling Energy and Development: an Evaluation of Models and Concepts, World Development, 36 (12), 2801-2821. doi:10.1016/j.worlddev.2008.01.011

J.P. van der Sluijs, Jean-Marc Douguet, Martin O’Connor, Ângela Guimarães Pereira, Serafin Corral Quintana, Laura Maxim, and Jerry R. Ravetz, (2008), Qualité de la Connaissance dans un processus délibératif, Natures Sciences Sociétés 16 (3) 265-273 DOI:10.1051/nss:2008055

J. van der Sluijs, J.-M. Douguet, M. O’Connor, J.R. Ravetz, (2008). Evaluation de la Qualité de la Connaissance dans une Perspective Délibérative. VertigO – La revue en sciences de l'environnement, 8 (2), octobre 2008, 1-9.

Jens Christian Refsgaard; Jeroen P van der Sluijs; Anker Lajer Højberg; Peter A Vanrolleghem (2007), Uncertainty in the Environmental Modelling Process: A framework and guidance, Environmental Modelling & Software. 22 (11), 1543-1556.

L. Maxim and J.P. van der Sluijs (2007), Uncertainty: cause or effect of stakeholders' debates? Analysis of a case study: the risk for honey bees of the insecticide Gaucho®, Science of the Total Environment, 376, 1-17.

Jeroen P. van der Sluijs (2007), Uncertainty and Precaution in Environmental Management: Insights from the UPEM conference, Environmental Modelling and Software, 22, (5), 590-598. (alternative download link)

J.P. van der Sluijs, M. Kaiser, L. Maxim, J.M. Douguet (2007), Le principe de précaution, un principe pour agir dans des situations d'incertitude, Risques, 72, p. 75-81.

L. Maxim, J.P. van der Sluijs, J.M. Douguet (2007), Mettre en oevre le principe de precaution: une approache pragmatique, Risques, 72 p. 93-105.

Jens Christian Refsgaard, Jeroen P. van der Sluijs, James Brown and Peter van der Keur (2006), A Framework For Dealing With Uncertainty Due To Model Structure Error, Advances in Water Resources, 29 (11), 1586-1597.

P. Kloprogge and J. van der Sluijs (2006), The inclusion of stakeholder knowledge and perspectives in integrated assessment of climate change. Climatic Change, 75 (3) 359-389.

M.P. Krayer von Krauss, W.E. Walker, J. P. van der Sluijs, P. Janssen, M.B.A. van Asselt, and J. Rotmans (2006). Response to "To what extent, and how, might uncertainty be defined" by Norton, Brown, and Mysiak, Integrated Assessment, 6 (1), 89-94.

Jeroen van der Sluijs (2005), Uncertainty as a monster in the science policy interface: four coping strategies. Water science and technology, 52 (6), 87-92.

Janssen, P.H.M., Petersen, A.C., Van der Sluijs, J.P., Risbey, J., Ravetz, J.R. (2005), A guidance for assessing and communicating uncertainties. Water science and technology, 52 (6) 125-131.

Jeroen van der Sluijs, Matthieu Craye, Silvio Funtowicz, Penny Kloprogge, Jerry Ravetz, and James Risbey (2005), Experiences with the NUSAP system for multidimensional uncertainty assessment in Model based Foresight Studies, Water science and technology, 52 (6), 133-144.

Jeroen van der Sluijs, Matthieu Craye, Silvio Funtowicz, Penny Kloprogge, Jerry Ravetz, and James Risbey (2005) Combining Quantitative and Qualitative Measures of Uncertainty in Model based Environmental Assessment: the NUSAP System, Risk Analysis, 25 (2). p. 481-492. DOI:10.1111/j.1539-6924.2005.00604.x

Risbey, J., J. van der Sluijs, P. Kloprogge, J. Ravetz, S. Funtowicz, and S. Corral Quintana (2005): Application of a Checklist for Quality Assistance in Environmental Modelling to an Energy Model. Environmental Modeling & Assessment 10 (1), 63-79. DOI:10.1007/s10666-004-4267-z

Matthieu Craye, Jeroen van der Sluijs and Silvio Funtowicz (2005), A reflexive approach to dealing with uncertainties in environmental health risk science and policy, International Journal for Risk Assessment and Management 5 (2), p. 216-236. DOI:10.1504/IJRAM.2005.007169

H. Groenenberg and J. van der Sluijs (2005), Valueloading and Uncertainty in a Sector-Based Differentiation Scheme for Emission Allowances, Climatic Change, Vol. 71 (1), 75–115.

J.P. van der Sluijs James Risbey and Jerry Ravetz (2005), Uncertainty Assessment of VOC emissions from Paint in the Netherlands, Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 105, p. 229-259.

Heleen Groenenberg, Kornelis Blok, Jeroen van der Sluijs (2005). Projection of energy-intensive material production for bottom–up scenario building. Ecological Economics 53 (2005) 75–99.

H. Groenenberg, K. Blok and J. van der Sluijs (2004), Global Tryptych – A Bottom-up Approach for the Differentiation of Commitments. Climate Policy, Vol 4 (2), p. 153-175.

W.E. Walker, P. Harremoës, J. Rotmans, J. P. van der Sluijs, M.B.A. van Asselt, P. Janssen, and M.P. Krayer von Krauss, Defining Uncertainty A Conceptual Basis for Uncertainty Management in Model-Based Decision Support, Integrated Assessment, Vol.4 No.1 (2003), pp. 5-17.

 J.P. van der Sluijs, A way out of the credibility crisis around model-use in Integrated Environmental Assessment, Futures, 34 (2002) 133-146.

 J.P. van der Sluijs, Integrated Assessment Models and the Participatory Challenge The case of Climate Change. In: Dunn, William N.; Hisschemoller, Matthijs; Hoppe, Rob; Ravetz, Jerry R., Knowledge, Power, and Participation in Environmental Policy Analysis, special issue Policy Studies Review Annual, Transaction Pub, 2001, p317-348.

 J.P. van der Sluijs, J.C.M. van Eijndhoven, B. Wynne, and S. Shackley, Anchoring Devices in Science For Policy: The Case of Consensus Around Climate Sensitivity, Social Studies of Science, vol 28, 2, April 1998, p. 291-323.

J.P. van der Sluijs and J.C.M. van Eijndhoven, Closure of Disputes in the Assessments of Climate Change in the Netherlands Arena Environmental Management, vol. 22, 4, 1998, p.597-609.

J. Klabbers, J.P. van der Sluijs and R. Ybema, Handling uncertainties of global climate change: mapping the policy/science interface, in: Milieu - Journal of Environmental Sciences, vol 13, 5, 1998, p. 286-296.

 J.P. van der Sluijs, G.J. de Bruyn, and P. Westbroek, Biogenic Feedbacks in the Carbonate-Silicate Geochemical Cycle and the Global Climate, American Journal of Science, 296 (8), 1996, p.932-953.

J.P. van der Sluijs, C.A. Hendriks, K. Blok, Feasibility of polymer membranes for carbon dioxide recovery from flue gases, Energy Conversion and Management, 33, 1992, p. 429-436.


3. Chapters in peer reviewed books

Published book chapters

Jens Christian Refsgaard, Jeroen P. van der Sluijs, Anker Lajer Højberg and Peter A. Vanrolleghem (2010) Uncertainty analysis in model-based water management, In: Peter A. Vanrolleghem (ed.), Modelling Aspects of Water Framework Directive Implementation, Volume 1, IWA Publishing, London, 271-333.

J.P. van der Sluijs (2010). Uncertainty and complexity: the need for new ways of interfacing climate science and climate policy. In: P. Driessen P. Leroy, and W. van Vierssen, From Climate Change to Social Change: Perspectives on Science - Policy Interactions, International Books, Utrecht, 31-49.

J.-M. Douguet, M. O'Connor, J.P. van der Sluijs, P.H.M. Janssen, A.C. Petersen (2009). Uncertainty Assessment in a Deliberative Perspective. In: A. Pereira Guimaraes and S. Funtowicz. Science for Policy, Oxford University Press, pp 15-47.

L. Maxim, and J.P. van der Sluijs (2009). Multi-causal Relationships in their Socio-political Context. In: In: A. Pereira Guimaraes and S. Funtowicz. Science for Policy, Oxford University Press, pp 67-80.

M. Craye, E. Laes, J. van der Sluijs (2009). Re-negotiating the Role of External Cost Calculations in the Belgian Nuclear and Sustainable Energy Debate. In: A. Pereira Guimaraes and S. Funtowicz. Science for Policy, Oxford University Press, pp 272-290.

J.P. van der Sluijs and S.O. Funtowicz (2008). Sozialökologische Transformation bedingt neues Verhaltnis von Wissenschaft und Politik. In: Judith Dellheim and Günter Krause (eds.). Für eine neue Alternative: Herausforderungen einer sozalökologischen Transformation. pp. 63-81. ISBN 978-3-320-02161-0

H.A.C Runhaar, J.P. van der Sluijs and P.P.J. Driessen (2008). Shifts in Environmental Health Risk Governance: An Analytical Framework, in: S. Martorell, C. Guedes Soares & J. Barnett (eds.). Safety, Reliability and Risk Analysis; Theory, Methods and Applications, CRC Press, London, vol. 1, pp. 369-378.

J. van der Sluijs et M. Kaiser, Vers une compréhension commune du principe de précaution. In P. Allard, D. Fox and B. Picon, Incertitude et environnement, La fin des certitudes scientifiques, EDISUD, 2008.

L. Maxim and J.P. van der Sluijs, L'incertitude: cause ou effet des débats entre les acteurs? Analyse de cas du risque pour les abeilles de l'insecticide Gaucho. In P. Allard, D. Fox and B. Picon, Incertitude et environnement, La fin des certitudes scientifiques, EDISUD, 2008.

Jeroen P. van der Sluijs, Uncertainty, assumptions, and value commitments in the knowledge-base of complex environmental problems, in: Ângela Guimarães Pereira, Sofia Guedes Vaz and Sylvia Tognetti, Interfaces between Science and Society, Green Leaf Publishing, 2006, p.67-84.

J.P. van der Sluijs and W. Turkenburg, Climate Change and the Precautionary Principle. In: Elizabeth Fisher, Judith Jones and René von Schomberg, Implementing The Precautionary Principle, Perspectives and Prospects, ELGAR,2006.

J. van der Sluijs, Integrated Assessment, in: R E Munn and M Tolba (eds.) Encyclopaedia of Global Environmental Change, Volume 4 , Responding to global environmental change, pp 250–253,Wiley, London, 2002.

J. van der Sluijs, Definition of Integrated Assessment, in: R E Munn and M Tolba (eds.) Encyclopaedia of Global Environmental Change, Volume 4 , Responding to global environmental change, Wiley, London, 2002, pp 249-250.

J. van der Sluijs, ULYSSES (Urban Lifestyles, Sustainability, and Integrated Environmental Assessment), in: R E Munn and M Tolba (eds.) Encyclopaedia of Global Environmental Change, Volume 4 , Responding to global environmental change, Wiley, London, 2002, pp 460-460.

J.C.M. van Eijndhoven, G. Dinkelman, J.P. van der Sluijs and R. Pleune, Finding your Place, A History of the Management of Global Environmental Risks in the Netherlands, in: The Social Learning Group, Learning to Manage Global Environmental Risks: A Comparative History of Social Responses to Climate Change, Ozone Depletion and Acid Rain. MIT Press, 2001, Vol. 1, p. 115-138.

J. Jäger, J. Cavender Bares, N. Dickson, A. Fenech, P. Haas, F. Hampson, P. Hughes, A. Liberatore, E.A. Parson, V. Sokolov, F. Toth, C. Waterton, J.P. van der Sluijs, J.C.M. van Eijndhoven, and B. Wynne, Risk Assessment, in: The Social Learning Group, Learning to Manage Global Environmental Risks: A Comparative History of Social Responses to Climate Change, Ozone Depletion and Acid Rain. MIT Press, 2001, Vol. 2, p. 7-30.

J. Jäger, Nancy M. Dickson, Adam Fenech, Peter Haas, Edward Parson, Vassily Sokolov, Ferenc Tóth, Jeroen van der Sluis and Claire Waterton, Monitoring, in: The Social Learning Group, Learning to Manage Global Environmental Risks: A Comparative History of Social Responses to Climate Change, Ozone Depletion and Acid Rain. MIT Press, 2001, Vol. 2, p. 31-48.

J. van der Sluijs and P. Kloprogge, The inclusion of stakeholder perspectives in Integrated Assessment of Climate Change, in Michael Decker (Ed): Interdisciplinarity in Technology Assessment. Implementations and their Chances and Limits. Series: "Wissenschaftsethik und Technikfolgenbeurteilung", Volume 11, Springer, Berlin Heidelberg New York 2001 p. 199-214.

 J.P. van der Sluijs, Uncertainty management in integrated modelling, the IMAGE case in: S. Zwerver, R.S.A.R. van Rompaey, M.T.J. Kok and M.M. Berk (eds.), Climate Change Research; Evaluation and Policy Implications, Studies in Environmental Science 65 B, Elsevier Science B.V., 1995, p.1401-1406.


4. Other peer-reviewed publications
The RIVM/MNP Guidance for Uncertainty Assessment and Communication documents have undergone international peer review as well as a user-review. These documents are:

A.C. Petersen, P.H.M. Janssen, J.P. van der Sluijs, J.S. Risbey, J.R. Ravetz RIVM/MNP Guidance for Uncertainty Assessment and Communication: Mini-Checklist & Quickscan Questionairre.. RIVM/MNP; ISBN 90-6960-105-1, 2003.

P.H.M. Janssen, A.C. Petersen, J.P. van der Sluijs, J.S. Risbey, J.R. Ravetz . RIVM/MNP Guidance for Uncertainty Assessment and Communication: Quickscan Hints & Actions List. RIVM/MNP, ISBN 90-6960-105-2, 2003.

J.P. van der Sluijs, J.S. Risbey, P. Kloprogge, J.R. Ravetz, S.O. Funtowicz, S.Corral Quintana, Â Guimarães Pereira, B. De Marchi, A.C. Petersen, P.H.M. Janssen, R. Hoppe, and S.W.F. Huijs. RIVM/MNP Guidance for Uncertainty Assessment and Communication: Detailed Guidance Utrecht University & RIVM, 2003.

J.P. van der Sluijs, P.H.M. Janssen, A.C. Petersen, P. Kloprogge, J.S. Risbey, W. Tuinstra, M.B.A. van Asselt, J.R. Ravetz, RIVM/MNP Guidance for Uncertainty Assessment and Communication: Tool Catalogue for Uncertainty Assessment Utrecht University & RIVM, , 2004.

5. Conference presentations published in proceedings

Remvikos, Y., Medina, S., Van der Sluijs, J. (2009). Aphekom - The Science/Decision Interface in Air Quality Policy: Lessons from a Local Multi-Stakeholder Process in France, Epidemiology, 20(6):S142.

de Jong, A; van der Sluijs, J P.; Wardekker, J A. (2009). Uncertainties in Risk Estimations of Electromagnetic Fields of Overhead Power Lines, Epidemiology, 20(6):S220.

Boogaard, H., Hoek, G., Knol, A., de Hartog, J., Slottje, P., Ayres, J.G, Borm, P., Brunekreef, B., Donaldson, K., Forastiere, F., Holgate, S., Kreyling, W.G., Nemery, B., Pekkanen, J., Stone, V., Wichmann, E., van der Sluijs, J. (2009). Concentration Response Functions for Ultrafine Particles and All-Cause Mortalilty and Hospital Admissions: Results of an European Expert Panel Elicitation, Epidemiology, 20(6):S40-S41.

De Hartog, J., Knol, A., Boogaard, H., Slottje, P., van der Sluijs, J., Lebret, E., Cassee, F., Wardekker, A., Ayres, Jon., Borm, P., Brunekreef, B., Donaldson, K., Forastiere, F., Holgate, S., Kreyling, W., Nemery, B., Pekkanen, J., Stone, V., Wichmann, E., Hoek, G. (2009). Expert Elicitation on Health Effects Related to Exposure to Ultrafine Particles: Likelihood of Causality and Causal Pathways, Epidemiology, 20(6):S68-S69.

Joop de Boer, J. Arjan Wardekker, Jeroen P. van der Sluijs, Frame-based guide to situated decision-making on climate change. Paper presented at the IARU International Scientific Congress on Climate Change: Global Risks, Challenges and Decisions, Copenhagen, 12 March 2009.

J.P. van der Sluijs and S.O. Funtowicz (2008). Social-Ecological Transformation: the necessity of an accompanying transformation in practice and public understanding of expert policy advice. In: Proceedings of the International Workshop on Socio-ecological transformation and its impact on alterantive economic concepts and strategies, Rosa Luxemburg Foundation, Berlin, 29 June - 1 July 2007 (21 pp.).

J.P. van der Sluijs, Onzekerheidscommunicatie. In: J. Mathijssen, A. Petersen, P. Besseling, A. Rahman, H. Don (Eds.): Omgaan met Onzekerheid in Beleid. CPB, MNP, and RAND Europe, The Hague, Bilthoven, and Leiden, The Netherlands, 2007, p. 23-28.

J.P. van der Sluijs and J.M. Douguet, Knowledge quality assessment: from diagnostic tools to enlarged deliberative process. Paper presented at The Ninth Biennial Conference of The International Society for Ecological Economics on 'Ecological Sustainability and Human Well-being', December 16-18, 2006, India Habitat Centre, New Delhi, India (full paper on conference CD-Rom).

L. Maxim, and J.P. van der Sluijs, multicausality: from science to discourse. Evidence from a French case study. Paper presented at The Ninth Biennial Conference of The International Society for Ecological Economics on Ecological Sustainability and Human Well-being , December 16-18, 2006, India Habitat Centre, New Delhi, India (full paper on conference CD-Rom).

Arthur Petersen, Jeroen van der Sluijs, Willemijn Tuinstra and Katherine Martin, Anticipation and Adaptation in Particulate Matter Policy: The European Union, the Netherlands, and United States, background paper for the Trans Atlantic Uncertainty Colloquium, organized by the US-Environmental Protection Agency, Washington D.C., 10-11 October 2006.

Peter H.M. Janssen, Arthur C. Petersen, Jeroen P. van der Sluijs, James S. Risbey and Jerome R. Ravetz (2005) Towards Guidance in Assessing and Communicating Uncertainties, Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Sensitivity Analysis of Model Output (SAMO 2004) Santa Fe, New Mexico, March 8-11, 2004.

J. van der Sluijs, P. Kloprogge, J. Risbey, and J. Ravetz, Towards a Synthesis of Qualitative and Quantitative Uncertainty Assessment: Applications of the Numeral, Unit, Spread, Assessment, Pedigree (NUSAP) System. in: International Workshop on Uncertainty, Sensitivity and Parameter Estimation for Multimedia Environmental Modeling,(proceedings) Interagency Steering Committee on Multi Media Environmental Modeling, August 19-21 2003, Rockville MD, USA. p.81-86.

J. van der Sluijs, James Risbey, Serafin Corral Quintana, Jerry Ravetz, Uncertainty management in complex models: the NUSAP method, in: Integrated Assessment and Decision Support. Ed. A.Jakeman, A. Rizzoli. Proceedings of IEMSS 2002 Conference, 24-27 June 2002, Lugano, Switzerland. p. 13-18.

James Risbey, Jeroen van der Sluijs, Penny Kloprogge, Jerry Ravetz, Silvio Funtowicz, Serafin Corral Quintana, Application of a Checklist for Quality Assistance in Environmental Modelling to an Energy Model, in: Integrated Assessment and Decision Support. Ed. A.Jakeman, A. Rizzoli. Proceedings of IEMSS 2002 Conference, 24-27 June 2002, Lugano, Switzerland. p. 25-30.

P. Kloprogge, J.P. van der Sluijs, Choice processes in modelling for policy support, in: Integrated Assessment and Decision Support. Ed. A. Jakeman, A. Rizzoli. Proceedings of IEMSS 2002 Conference, 24-27 June 2002, Lugano, Switzerland. p. 96-102.

P. Kloprogge,  and J. van der Sluijs, Choice processes in modelling for policy support, in: J.P. van der Sluijs (Ed.), Hand-out book of the thematic workshop Managing Uncertainty in science for suSTainability: future research challenges for Europe of the Joint Research Centre, Launch Conference 6th Framework Programme, Heysel, Belgium, 2002, pp. 36-41.

J.S. Risbey, J. van der Sluijs, P. Kloprogge, J. Ravetz, S. Funtowicz, and S. Corral Quintana, Application of a Checklist for Quality Assistance in Environmental Modelling to an Energy Model, Hand-out book of the thematic workshop Managing Uncertainty in science for suSTainability: future research challenges for Europe of the Joint Research Centre, Launch Conference 6th Framework Programme, Heysel, Belgium, 2002, pp. 25-30.

J.P. van der Sluijs, J. Risbey, S. Corral Quintana, and J. Ravetz, Uncertainty management in complex models: the NUSAP method, Hand-out book of the thematic workshop Managing Uncertainty in science for suSTainability: future research challenges for Europe of the Joint Research Centre, Launch Conference 6th Framework Programme, Heysel, Belgium, 2002, pp. 19-24.

J. van der Sluijs and C. Fogel, Uncertainty and Climate Change. In: J. Jäger (ed) The EFIEA Workshop on Uncertainty, Baden bei Wien, Austria, July 10-18, 1999, Vienna/Amsterdam, January 2000, p.3-6

C. Fogel and J. van der Sluijs, Plenary Discussion of Hands-on Experience with IAMs. In: J. Jäger (ed) The EFIEA Workshop on Uncertainty, Baden bei Wien, Austria, July 10-18, 1999, Vienna/Amsterdam, January 2000, p.33-34

 J.P. van der Sluijs, Uncertainty management in integrated assessment models by NUSAP-informed delphic uncertainty ranking, in: A.Sors, A.Liberatore, S.Funtowicz, J.C..Hourcade, J.L..Fellous, Proceedings of the International Symposium Prospects for Integrated Assessment: Lessons Learnt from the Case of Climate Change Toulouse, France, European Commission, DG XII, 1997, p. 161-166.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Uncertainty management in integrated modelling, the IMAGE case in: S. Zwerver, R.S.A.R. van Rompaey, M.T.J. Kok and M.M. Berk (eds.), Climate Change Research; Evaluation and Policy Implications, Studies in Environmental Science 65 B, Elsevier Science B.V., 1995, p.1401-1406.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Omgaan met onzekerheden in Geintegreerde Klimaatmodellen, Short paper in SWOME marktdag boek Zesde Markdag, Milieu en Samenleving, SISWO, Amsterdam, 1995, p. 68-70.

 J.P. van der Sluijs, Inertie in de beleidsgeorienteerde wetenschappelijke adviespraktijk betreffende het klimaatvraagstuk. Short paper in SWOME marktdag boek 1994, SISWO, Amsterdam. 1994, p. 49-51.


6.Scientific Rapports

Jeroen P. van der Sluijs, Rinie van Est and Monique Riphagen (red.) (2010). Ruimte voor klimaatdebat: zicht op interactie tussen klimaatpolitiek, -wetenschap en -media. Den Haag, Rathenau Instituut.

Gezondheidsraad, (2009). Mondiale milieu-invloed op onze gezondheid, Signalement. Gezondheidsraad publicatie 2009/15, Den Haag.

B. van Ruijven, J.P. van der Sluijs, D.P. van Vuuren, P. Janssen, P.S.C. Heuberger, B. de Vries (2009). Uncertainty from model calibration: applying a new method to transport energy demand modelling, Report NWS-E-2009-50, Department of Science Technology and Society, Copernicus Institute, Utrecht University. pp.35.

J.A. Wardekker, J. de Boer, M.J. Kolkman, J.P. van der Sluijs, K.S. Buchanan, A. de Jong, A. van der Veen, 2009, Tool catalogue frame-based information tools, Report NWS-E-2009-3 Department of Science Technology and Society, Copernicus Institute, Utrecht University. pp.65.

J.A. Wardekker, A. de Jong en J.P. van der Sluijs, 2008, Veerkrachtig Rotterdam: klimaatverandering als uitdaging. Workshopverslag. Report NWS-E-2008-300. Department of Science Technology and Society, Copernicus Institute, Utrecht University. pp.33.

P. Slottje, J.P. van der Sluijs and A.B. Knol, 2008, Expert Elicitation - Methodological suggestions for its use in environmental health impact assessments. RIVM Letter Report 630004001/2008, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, 56 pp.

Gezondheidsraad, 2008, Waterstof in het wegverkeer: voor- en nadelen voor de gezondheid van een nieuwe vorm van brandstof.. Signalement. Gezondheidsraad publicatie 2008/16, Den Haag.

Ad Jeuken, Rob van der Krogt, Frans Claessen, Herman van der Most, Erik Opdam, Brendan McCarthy, MNP Joost Knoop, Evert Metselaar, Aalt Leusink, Teun Morsselt, Paul Opdam, Jeroen van der Sluijs, Tejo Spit, Pier Vellinga, 2008, Naar een klimaatbestendig NL, Kaders voor afweging, Definitiestudie Fase 1. Leven Met Water, Habiforum, en Klimaat voor Ruimte. 104pp.

P. Kloprogge, J.P. van der Sluijs and A. Wardekker, 2007. Uncertainty communication: issues and good practice, report NWS-E-2007-199, Department of Science Technology and Society, Copernicus Institute, Utrecht University. 60 pp.

S. Dessai and J.P. van der Sluijs, 2007. Uncertainty and Climate Change Adaptation - a Scoping Study, report NWS-E-2007-198, Department of Science Technology and Society, Copernicus Institute, Utrecht University. 95 pp.

J.A. Wardekker and J.P. van der Sluijs, Evaluatie van Onzekerheidscommunicatie in de Milieubalans 2005, report NWS-E-2006-215, Department of Science, Technology and Society, Copernicus Institute for Sustainable Development and Innovation, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands; December 2006.

J.A. Wardekker and J.P. van der Sluijs, Wereldbeelden en Controversen rond Duurzaamheid. report NWS-E-2006-191, Department of Science, Technology and Society, Copernicus Institute for Sustainable Development and Innovation, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands; November 2006.

Andrea Ramírez Ramírez, Corry de Keizer and Jeroen P. van der Sluijs, Monte Carlo Analysis of Uncertainties in the Netherlands Greenhouse Gas Emission Inventory for 1990 - 2004, report NWS-E-2006-58, Department of Science, Technology and Society, Copernicus Institute for Sustainable Development and Innovation, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands; July 2006.

Kloprogge, P., J.P. van der Sluijs, Verslag beleidslabsessie ´Onzekerheidsinformatie in de Milieubalans 2005´, Department of Science, Technology and Society, Copernicus Institute, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands, 2006. (NWS-E-2006-56)

Kloprogge, P., J.P. van der Sluijs, Verslag Expert Meeting onzekerheidscommunicatie rond fijn stof en gezondheid, Department of Science, Technology and Society, Copernicus Institute, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands, 2006. (NWS-E-2006-55)

Wardekker, J.A.; Van der Sluijs, J.P.: "Onzekerheidscommunicatie in de Milieubalans 2005: Resultaten Gebruikerspanel Stakeholders"; report NWS-E-2006-36, ISBN-10 90-8672-008-0, ISBN-13 978-90-8672-008-8; commissioned by: Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (MNP/RIVM), published by: Department of Science, Technology and Society, Copernicus Institute for Sustainable Development and Innovation, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands; April 2006; 31 pp. + appendices.

Wardekker, J.A.; Van der Sluijs, J.P.: "Onzekerheidscommunicatie in de Milieubalans 2005: Resultaten Gebruikerspanel Beleidsmakers"; report NWS-E-2006-16, ISBN-10 90-8672-007-2, ISBN-13 978-90-8672-007-1; commissioned by: Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (RIVM/MNP), published by: Department of Science, Technology and Society, Copernicus Institute for Sustainable Development and Innovation, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands; February 2006; 29 pp + appendices.

J.-M. Douguet, J.P. van der Sluijs, M. O Connor, Â. Guimarães Pereira, S. Corral Quintana, J.R. Ravetz, Assurance Qualité de la Connaissance dans un processus délibératif élargi. De NUSAP aux Outils Kerbabel!" d aide à la Délibération, Cahier du C3ED n°06-03, Centre d Economie et d Ethique pour l Environnement et le Développement (UMR M063 IRD & UVSQ), Février 2006.

Penny Kloprogge, Jeroen P. van der Sluijs and Arthur Petersen, 2005. A method for the analysis of assumptions in assessments: Exploring the value-ladenness of two indicators in the Fifth Dutch Environmental Outlook report commissioned by: Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (MNP), report published by: Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (MNP), Bilthoven and Unit Science, Technology and Society, Copernicus Institute, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands, December 2005, 69 pp.

Van der Sluijs, J.P., M. Kaiser, S. Beder, V. Hosle, A. Kemelmajer de Carlucci, A. Kinzig, The Precautionary Principle, UNESCO, Paris Cedex, Paris, France, March 2005, 54 pp. http://unesdoc.unesco.org/images/0013/001395/139578e.pdf

Refsgaard, J. C., J. P. van der Sluijs, A. L. Hojberg, P. Vanrolleghem, HarmoniCa Guidance Uncertainty Analysis, Report commissioned by European Commission, European Commission, Brussels, Belgium, 46 pp.

R. van Gijlswijk, P. Coenen, T. Pulles and J.P. van der Sluijs, Uncertainty assessment of  NOx, SO2 and NH3 emissions in the Netherlands, 2003. TNO and Copernicus Institute Research Report, 79 pp.

J.P. van der Sluijs, James Risbey and J. Ravtz, Uncertainty Assessment of VOC emissions from Paint in the Netherlands, Department of Science Technology and Society, Utrecht University, 2002, 90 pp.

Jeroen P. van der Sluijs, Matthijs Hisschemoller, Joop de Boer, Penny Kloprogge. Climate Risk Assessment Evaluation of Approaches Summary and synthesis report. NRP report, Utrecht University, 2002, 40 pp.

Jeroen P. van der Sluijs, Jose Potting, James Risbey, Detlef van Vuuren, Bert de Vries, Arthur Beusen, Peter Heuberger, Serafin Corral Quintana, Silvio Funtowicz, Penny Kloprogge, David Nuijten, Arthur Petersen, Jerry Ravetz.Uncertainty assessment of the IMAGE/TIMER B1 CO2 emissions scenario, using the NUSAP method. Dutch National Research Program on Climate Change, Bilthoven, 2002, 225 pp.

James Risbey, J.P. van der Sluijs, J. Ravetz and Peter Janssen, A Checklist for Quality Assistance in Environmental Modelling, NW&S report

James Risbey, J.P. van der Sluijs, and J. Ravetz, Protocol for the assessment of uncertainty and strength in emission monitoring, NW&S report

J.P. van der Sluijs, W.C. Turkenburg and K. Blok, Een duurzaam klimaat vraagt geen woord maar daad: een kritische analyse van probleembeschrijving, strategie en maatregelenpakket voor klimaatverandering. in: NMP4 onder de loep, VROMRaad Achtergrondstudie 010, 2001, p 17-32.

W.C. Turkenburg en J.P. van der Sluijs, Review van het RIVM instrumentarium voor de totstandkoming van lange termijn prognoses met betrekking tot de emissies van broeikasgassen. Sectie Natuurwetenschap en Samenleving, Universiteit Utrecht, rapportnr. NW&S-E-2000-13, mei 2000, 14 pp.

B. Tinker, C. Azar, J.J.M. Berdowski, T. Boden, R. Darwin, W. Hare, B.J. Heij, M. Hulme, G. Komen, L. Meyer, S. Schapendonk, M.E. Schlessinger, C. Schuurmans, A.M. Solomon, J.P. van der Sluijs, M, Vaino, Report of the third session of the IMAGE Advisory Board, RIVM report 48158014, RIVM, 2000.

Hisschemoller, M.; Boer, J. de ; Breukels, M. , Dunn, W. N.  and Sluijs J.P. van der. Climate risk assessment: evaluation of approaches. Working document 1, Department of Science Technology and Society, Utrecht University, 2000, 28 pp.

Van der Sluijs, J.P.,. 2000.  Climate risk assessment: evaluation of approaches. Working document 2, Department of Science Technology, Utrecht University, 2000, 70 pp.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Tuning NUSAP for its use in Integrated Model Quality Assurance the Case of Climate Change, Report in commission of European Commission Directorate General CCR, Joint Research Centre, Institute for Systems, Informatics and Safety, Ispra, Italy (contract no. 13970 – 1998 – 05 F1EI ISP NL), Department of Science Technology and Society, Utrecht University, Utrecht, March 1999. 36 pp.

W.C. Turkenburg en J.P. van der Sluijs, Review RIVM-instrumentarium voor de CO2-emissieinventarisatie ten behoeve van de Milieubalans. Sectie Natuurwetenschap en Samenleving, Universiteit Utrecht, rapportnr. NW&S-99047, September 1999, 16 pp.

J.P. van der Sluijs en W.C. Turkenburg, NMP 3 thema klimaat: een kritische analyse van het probleemveld, de beleidsdoelstellingen en de maatregelen, VROM-Raad rapport, 1998, 49 pp.

J.P. van der Sluijs and K. Schulte Fischedick  Omgaan met onzekerheden in wetenschap voor (milieu)beleid een inventarisatie van theorieën en aanpakken. Report in commission of Rathenau Instituut, The Hague, april 1997, 59 pp.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Integrated Assessment Models and the Management of Uncertainties, IIASA working paper no. WP 96-119, Laxenburg, Austria, 1996, 80 pp.

S. Toet and J.P. van der Sluijs, Climate Change: The Reporting in "De Telegraaf" 1970-1991. January 1992, ver. 1, contribution F7 to the Social Learning project (Research report NW&S Nr:92014), Utrecht, 1992, 13 pp.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Experts in the Netherlands and the risk of Global Climate Change, 1946 - present, February 1992, contribution F6 to the Social Learning project (Research report NW&S Nr:92012), Utrecht, 1992, 50 pp.

J.P. van der Sluijs, J.P., C.A. Hendriks, K. Blok, Feasibility of polymer membranes for carbon dioxide recovery from flue gases (Research report NW&S Nr.:92006), Utrecht, 1991, 48 pp.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Kernenergie en stralingsrisico's, controversen rond risicoschattingen en normstelling van blootstelling aan lage dosis ioniserende straling, Wetenschapswinkel RUL, Leiden, 1988, 90 pp.


7. professional publications (vakpublicaties)

PCCC (2009) De Staat van het Klimaat 2008, Platform Communication on Climate Change, De Bilt/ Wageningen

Bezinningsgroep Energiebeleid, Klimaatprobleem: Oplossing in zicht, VU-Uitgeverij, ISBN 9053837043, 2000.

J.P. van der Sluijs (ed.) The ULYSSES Web Tutorial on Particpatory Integrated Assessment, 1999.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Onzekerheden in Risicoanalyse van Klimaatverandering, in: WTS, Tijdschrift voor Wetenschap Technologie en Samenleving, vol 6, 2, 1998, p.38..45.


8 Other publications
PCCC (2009) De Staat van het Klimaat 2008, Platform Communication on Climate Change, De Bilt/ Wageningen

Bezinningsgroep Energiebeleid, Klimaatprobleem: Oplossing in zicht, VU-Uitgeverij, ISBN 9053837043, 2000.

J. van der Sluijs (ed) Management of Uncertainty in Science for Sustainability. Hand-out booklet for the 11 November 2002 side event workshop: Managing Uncertainty in science for suSTainability: future research challenges for Europe, at the start conference of the 6th Framework Programme: "European Research 2002, The European Research Area and the Framework Programme", Brussels, 11-12-13 November 2002, 94 pp.

Joost van Kasteren, Klimaatonderzoek is toch vooral plausibel ouwehoeren in: Spil, 173-174, 2001, p.. 11-16 (interview)

Joost van Kasteren, Klimaattop in Den Haag: Het Milieu-Industrieel Complex. Interview/omslagartikel in: De Ingenieur, vol 112, nr. 118, 1 november 2000 p6-11

J.P. van der Sluijs, and K. Schulte Fischedick, Gezagscrisis rond milieugetallen, Trouw (Podium), 6 februari 1999.

Hamelinck, C., M. Londo and J. van der Sluijs. CO2-opslag niet raadselachtig. In: Technisch Weekblad, 1999: no 42, p.2.

J.P. van der Sluijs and W.C. Turkenburg, CO2-ideologie (5), Ingezonden brief, NRC Handelsblad, 20-7-1995.


9 Lectures and presentations

9.1 Invited keynotes and invited lectures

J.P. van der Sluijs, Climate Change: facts and uncertainties, invited lecture at the meeting of the Raad van Toezicht of the Knowlegde for Climate programme, 17 March 2010, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Hoogspanningslijnen,EMV risico's, onzekerheden en het voorzorgsprincipe, invited lecture at the directiebrede bijeenkomst directie Risicobeleid VROM, 1 March 2010, Ministry of VROM, The Hague, The Netherlands.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Climate Change: facts and uncertainties, invited lecture at the meeting of the Polman Group, 26 January 2010, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Model Quality Assessment, invited lecture at the SENSE course S020 Uncertainty Analysis, 12 February 2010, Wageningen, The Netherlands.

J.P. van der Sluijs, The NUSAP method for uncertainty assessment, invited lecture at the HEIMTSA, INTARESE, 2-FUN, and NoMiracle Joint Winter School on Uncertainty, 20 - 22 January 2010, Loch Tay, UK.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Hoogspanningslijnen,EMV risico's, onzekerheden en het voorzorgsprincipe, invited lecture at the fourth meeting of the Klankbordgroep EMV of the Netherlands Knowledge Platform on Electromagnetic Fields, RIVM, TNO, KEMA, Agentschap telecom, de GGD'en, ZonMW, 20 January 2010, Stadhuis Den Bosch, Den Bosch, The Netherlands.
2009

J.P. van der Sluijs, Coping with uncertainty in climate change adaptation: merging top down and bottom up approaches, invited lecture at PBL/Holland Climate House side event at UNFCC COP 15, " The cascade of uncertainties in assessing impacts", 10 December 2009, Bella Center, Copenhagen, Denmark. Further reading

J.P. van der Sluijs, " Uncertainties in Environmental Health Risk Assessment ", invited guest lecture in the education program "European Public Health", University of Maastricht, 3 December 2009, Maastricht, The Netherlands.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Climate Change, Uncertainty, and Ethics, invited lecture at the symposium Climate change as a challenge for human rights, organized by the Ethics Institute and the Copernicus Institute of Utrecht University, November 20, 2009, Utrecht, The Netherlands

J.P. van der Sluijs, Nano Risks, Uncertainty and the Precautionary Principle, invited lecture at the "Nanoregulering symposium: reuze-oplossingen voor dwergproblemen?" 13 November 2009, Universiteit van Tilburg, The Netherlands.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Uncertainty & Knowledge Quality Assessment the need for reflective science, invited lecture at the Risque-Environnement-Technologie Symposium 4 - 6 November 2009, Guyancourt, France

J.P. van der Sluijs, Postnormale Wetenschap als wetenschap niet eenduidig maar onzeker is…, (powerpoint) invited lunchlecture Studium Generale Utrecht University, 21 October 2009, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Uncertainty complexity and post normal science: the need for new ways of interfacing science and policy, invited KNMI Colloquium, October 9, 2009 Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, Bilthoven, The Netherlands.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Knowledge Quality Assessment tools for reflective science, invited lecture at ESF-LiU Conference 'Philosophy for Science in Use', 28 September - 2 October 2009, Linkoping, Sweden.

J.P. van der Sluijs, "Coping with Uncertainty in Science for Policy: The need for Knowledge Quality Assessment", Invited Lecture at the UNESCO-IHE international summer school "Climate Change in Integrated Water Management, September 8, 2009, UNESCO-IHE, Delft, The Netherlands.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Uncertainty in global change models, Invited lecture at the SENSE Summer School Understanding Global Environmental Change: Processes, Compartments and Interactions, Hoeven, The Netherlands, 5 September 2009.

J.P. van der Sluijs and and Kjellrun Hiis Hauge, Plurality of views in fishery science for policy, invited key note at MARE conference People and the Sea V: Living with Uncertainty and Adapting to Change, 9 July 2009, Amsterdam.

J.P. van der Sluijs, invited co-track chair of track "Sustainability Science - Bridging the Gap between Analytical and Normative Knowledge (Track 1A)", 15th Annual International Sustainable Development Research Conference, 5-8 July 2009, Utrecht.

J.P. van der Sluijs, "Onzekerheid en klimaatadaptatie", invited presentation at the workshop Onzekerheid en adaptieve strategie bij klimaatverandering, Deltares 25 May 2009, Delft

J.P. van der Sluijs, "Onzekerheid en klimaatadaptatie", invited presentation at the WRR conferentie De grenzen van de risicobenadering. Hoe nu verder? Session: Onzekerheid, klimaatadaptatie en adaptieve strategieën, WRR, 13 May 2009, Scheveningen

J.P. van der Sluijs, The post-normal approach to coping with uncertainties in the science-policy interface, Invited lecture (Grande Témoin) at the colloque innovation responsable, 29 April 2009, College de France, Paris

J.P. van der Sluijs, Knowledge Quality Assessment: Identification and management of uncertainties, Invited lecture at the workshop Monitoring the effects of climate change on human and animal health, 31 March 2009, Belgian Science Policy, Brussels.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Invited chair of parallel session on uncertainty and risk governance, Risk governance and policy learning within and between risk fields, Final Conference of the RiskBridge Project (European Commission Funded FP6 Coordination Action), Brussels, March 26-27 2009.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Knowledge Quality Assessment for a Sustainable Earth. Invited lecture at the Nederlands Partnerschap voor Duurzame Aarde onderzoek (NPDA) workshop, NWO, 26 March 2009, Amsterdam.

J.P. van der Sluijs, "… een redelijk consistente associatie …" Onzekerheidscommunicatie over EMV risico's. Invited key note at seminar Onzekerheidscommunicatie: Onzekerheden en EMV, functie en parktijk. 11 February 2009, RIVM Bilthoven.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Climate Change, Uncertainty and the Precautionary Principle, invited lecture at the Conference: Ethics and Politics of Climate Change - Challenges for Human Rights? Organized by Ethics Institute Utrecht University, the Heinrich Boll Stiftung (Berlin) and the Scientific Institute GreenLeft (Wetenschappelijk Bureau GroenLinks), Utrecht, 23 and 24 January 2009

J.P. van der Sluijs, Pedigree analysis of climate models. Invited lecture, Copenhagen, 9 January 2009.

J.P. van der Sluijs, The NUSAP method for uncertainty management, Invited Guest lecture in the MSc course "Integrated Environmental Assessment: Pollution Management". Wageningen, 7 January 2009.

J.P. van der Sluijs, "Onzekerheid en klimaatadaptatie", invited lecture at the national conference "Op weg naar een klimaatbestendige samenleving", organised by Klimaat voor Ruimte and Kennis voor Klimaat, 27 november 2008, De Doelen, Rotterdam.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Governing the risk of anthropogenic Climate Change requires a visible hand. Invited lecture at the International Workshop The "Visible Hand": Are we about to see a new (state-) interventionism? Who will dominate the future? The Current Debate - Contexts, Content and Questions - November 21 - 23, Rosa Luxemburg Foundation, Berlin

J.P. van der Sluijs, Communiceren over wetenschappelijke onzekerheden, overwegingen voor een goede praktijk, Invited lecture, 13e vergadering bestuur Kennisplatform EMV, 's Hertogenbosch, 20 november 2008.

J.P. van der Sluijs , "Coping with scientific uncertainty in the science-policy interface: From "speaking truth to power" to "working deliberatively within imperfections"" Invited lecture at the MSc Course Risk and Uncertainty, Maastricht Graduate School of Governance - 4 November 2008.

J.P. van der Sluijs , Uncertainty in the Science-Policy Interface. Invited lecture at the Workshop on Uncertainty and Policy - Fisheries in dialogue with other sectors. Organised by the Working Group on Fisheries Systems / JAKFISH / CEVIS, 13 October 2008, Copenhagen, Denmark.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Uncertainty assessment and communication. Invited lecture at the FRMRC2 WP1.7 planning meeting, organized by the UK Flood Risk Management Research Consortium, 9 October 2008, London, UK

J.P. van der Sluijs, invited panel member in the plenary session: Why should they believe us? Communication on Climate Change. European Conference on Applied Climatology (ECAC)
29 September - 03 October 2008 Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Uncertainty, complexity & post-normal science: the need for new ways of interfacing climate science and climate policy. Invited lecture at the Workshop "Science Policy Interface and Climate Change", Utrecht, 29 September 2008 organized by the Netherlands "Knowledge for Climate" program.

J.P. van der Sluijs, "Coping with Uncertainty in Science for Policy: The need for Knowledge Quality Assessment", Invited Lecture at the UNESCO-IHE international summer school "Climate Change in Integrated Water Management, September 10, 2008, UNESCO-IHE, Delft, The Netherlands.

J.P. van der Sluijs, "Science for Policy, From 'speaking truth to power' to 'working deliberatively within imperfections'", Invited lecture at TNO "Terugblik workshop Kwaliteit van Leefomgeving", 4 June 2008, Lage Vuurse, The Netherlands.

J.P. van der Sluijs, "Coping with scientific uncertainty in the science-society interface: From 'speaking truth to power' to 'working deliberatively within imperfections'". Invited Key-note lecture at the 2nd Maastricht PhD Conference, 9 May 2008 at Maastricht University, organized by the PhD Academy. http://phdacademy.sohosted.com/index.php?page_item=5

J.P. van der Sluijs, Post-normal Science and STS, Invited plenary key-note at the conference: Changing Relations between Science and Society, celebrating the 20th anniversary of the department of Science, Technology and Society, Utrecht University, 1988 - 2008. Utrecht 16 April 2008

J.P. van der Sluijs, The NUSAP method for uncertainty management, Invited Guest lecture in the MSc course "Integrated Environmental Assessment: Pollution Management". Wageningen, 11 January 2008.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Exploring uncertainty and quality in risk assessment models: a Post Normal approach. Invited Lecture at the Universiteitendag Risk Management: Modelleren van risico's, op zoek naar de grenzen, organized by the Nederlands Genootschap voor Risicomanagement, the Nederlandse Vereniging voor Risicoanalyse en Bedrijfszekerheid and Utrecht University, Utrecht 6 December 2007

J.P. van der Sluijs, Knowledge Quality Assessment, An Introduction. Invited lecture at the INTARESE training on Uncertainty & Quality, organised by the INTARESE project and the European Environment Agency, Copenhagen 17 & 18 October 2007.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Tools for Knowledge Quality Assessment. Invited lecture at the INTARESE training on Uncertainty & Quality, organised by the INTARESE project and the European Environment Agency, Copenhagen 17 & 18 October 2007.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Stakeholder participation in Knowledge Production. Invited lecture at the INTARESE training on Uncertainty & Quality, organised by the INTARESE project and the European Environment Agency, Copenhagen 17 & 18 October 2007.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Post Normal Science: working deliberatively within imperfections. Invited Lecture at the NATO Advanced Study Institute "Uncertainties in environmental modelling and consequences for policy making", Vrsar, September 30 to October 11, 2007 (lecture was on Oct 10 2007).

J.P. van der Sluijs, Social-Ecological Transformation: the necessity of an accompanying transformation in practice and public understanding of expert policy advice, Invited lecture at the Rosa Luxemburg Foundation International Workshop: "Social-ecological Transformation / Reconstruction as a Central Challenge for Alternative Economic Conceptions and Strategies of economic policies", Berlin, 29 June - 1 July 2007.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Uncertainty in global change models, Invited lecture at the SENSE Summer School Understanding Global Environmental Change: Processes, Compartments and Interactions, Hulsthorst, The Netherlands, 18-24 May 2007.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Uncertainty communication: Issues and good practice. Invited lecture at the international workshop "Perception of uncertainty in water management by stakeholders and researchers", organized by the Elbe Case Study team of the NeWater project, Prague, 14-16 May 2007

J.P. van der Sluijs, Uncertainty communication in the Science Policy Interface. Invited lecture at the "International Workshop on Uncertainty in Environmental Modelling", Organized by Geocentrum, Uppsala University, Uppsala, 28th-30th March 2007.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Post Normal Science, working deliberatively within imperfections, invited lecture at Studium Generale, Wageningen, 21 March 2007

J.P. van der Sluijs, The NUSAP method for uncertainty management, Invited Guest lecture in the MSc course "Integrated Environmental Assessment: Pollution Management". Wageningen, 10 January 2007.

J.P. van der Sluijs, " Uncertainties in Environmental Health Risk Assessment ", invited guest lecture in the education program "European Public Health", University of Maastricht, Maastricht, 22 November 2006.

J.P. van der Sluijs, The NUSAP-system for Uncertainty Assessment, invited lecture at the workshop "External costs of a potential severe nuclear accident in Belgium", StudieCentrum voor Kernenergie (SCK), Brussels, 26 October 2006.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Onzekerheidscommunicatie, invited lecture at workshop "Bandbreedte bij kustmorfologische projecten", RIKZ and WL|Delft Hydraulics, Delft, 25 October 2006.

J.P. van der Sluijs and J. Ravetz, Assessing the Quality of Evidence for Complex and Contested Policy Decisions, invited presentation at the Trans Atlantic Uncertainty Colloquium, organized by the US-Environmental Protection Agency, Washington D.C., 10-11 October 2006.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Knowledge Quality Assessment in the Science-Policy Interface, Invited (electronic) lecture (4 October 2006) at the eKAM school on knowledge assessment and extended participation, Organised by the Worldwide Network on Science and Society Interfaces, coordinated by the Knowledge Assessment Methodologies Group (EC-JRC) in collaboration with the University of La Laguna (Spain); Utrecht, Ispra, La Laguna, Bergen, Los Andes, Acores, Santiago, 2-6 October 2006.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Assessing the Quality of Evidence for Complex and Contested Policy Decisions, invited presentation at the UoB-JRC Haugastøl Mountain Uncertainty Workshop, organised by the University of Bergen and the European Commission Joint Research Center, Haugastøl, Norway, 8-10 September 2006.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Approaches and Methods for the Assessment and Communication of Uncertainty, invited lecture at the seminar Management and Communication of Uncertainty in the Science-Policy Interface, organised by Havforskningsinstituttet and Senter for vitenskapsteori, UiB, Bergen, Norway, 7 September 2006.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Uncertainty in Environmental Risk Management, Concepts, approaches, and Methods of Analysis, invited lecture at the THEMES summer school - Analysing Complexity, Barcelona, Spain, 10 June 2006

J.P. van der Sluijs, Post Normal Science, invited lecture at the THEMES summer school - Analysing Complexity, Barcelona, Spain, 10 June 2006.

J.P. van der Sluijs, The NUSAP system for uncertainty assessment, invited lecture at the THEMES summer school - Analysing Complexity, Barcelona, Spain, 12 June 2006.

J.P. van der Sluijs, The Precautionary Approach to Risk Management, invited lecture at the THEMES summer school - Analysing Complexity, Barcelona, Spain, 13 June 2006.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Onzekerheidscommunicatie, invited lecture (17 mei 2006) at conferentie "Omgaan met onzekerheid in beleid", Rand Europe/CPB/MNP, Den Haag, Netherlands, 16 & 17 Mei

J.P. van der Sluijs, Knowledge Quality Assessment in the Science-Policy Interface, invited lecture at TNO workshop Onzekerheid en Risico , Wassenaar, Netherlands, 14 April 2006.

J.P. van der Sluijs, "Knowledge Quality Assessment in the Science Policy Interface" Invited opening key note of the ERICA EUG Workshop on Scientific Uncertainty, 27-28 March 2006, Ljubljana.

J.P. van der Sluijs, "The Precautionary Principle and Uncertainty" Three day invited training course at Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública Sergio Arouca, Fiocruz, 21-22 March 2006, Rio de Janeiro.

J.P. van der Sluijs, "Knowledge Quality Assessment" Invited key note (7 Feb 2006) at ALARM general meeting, Lisbon, 6-10 February 2006.

J.P. van der Sluijs, "Current Practice: An assessment of the operational use of uncertainty assessment to modelling activities in RIVM, Netherlands", invited lecture at the FRMRC Practitioners' workshop Risk and Uncertainty, organised by the UK Flood Risk Management Research Consortium, Lancaster University, 31 January 2006.

J.P. van der Sluijs, "Guidance for Uncertainty Assessment, Management and Communication", Invited one-day training course for Ph.D. students, organized by The Integrated Assessment Society (TIAS), Enschede, 7 December 2005.

J.P. van der Sluijs, "Uncertainty in Environmental Risk Management, Concepts, approaches, and Methods of Analysis", Invited lecture (10 November 2005) at the "Knowledge Assessment Methodologies Fall School", organized by the Knowledge Assessment Methodologies Sector of the Institute for the Protection and Security of the Citizen at the European Commission's Joint Research Centre, Ispra, 7-11 November 2005.

J.P. van der Sluijs, "Uncertainty analysis and assessment", guest lecture at the SENSE Ph.D. Course "Modelling issues in energy, materials and waste analysis", organized by the SENSE Research School, Utrecht, 21 October 2005.

J.P. van der Sluijs, "TIAS Summerschool 2005 - Synthesis", invited lecture at the "TIAS Summerschool 2005 Stakeholder Participation and Modelling in Sustainable Resource Management", organized by The Integrated Assessment Society (TIAS), Osnabruck, 11-12 July 2005.

J.P. van der Sluijs "L Assurance de la Qualité de la Connaissance comme processus de dialogue multi-acteurs", invited lecture at the International Summer School "Les outils de participation des acteurs a la gouvernance environmentale des territoires", organized by Université de Corse and Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines, Corte, 4-10 July 2005.

J.P. van der Sluijs, "rethinking uncertainty, challenges for science and society", Invited lecture at the International Workshop "Seeking an agenda: Enviromental and technology ethics - Relevant research themes", organized by the Altonaer Stiftung für philosophische Grundlagenforschung, Hamburg, 27-29 June 2005.

J.P. van der Sluijs, A multi-disciplinary approach to cope with uncertainty monsters in environmental Foresight, Invited plenary lecture at the IFIP/IIASA/GAMM Workshop on Coping with Uncertainty (CwU), December 13-16, 2004, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Uncertainty Assessment and Communication. Invited seminar at the UK Flood Hazard Research Centre, London, 23 November 2004.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Uncertainty Assessment for complex problems: a review of state of the art tools. Invited plenary lecture at the UK Workshop on Flood Risk Management, Nottingham, 6 October 2004.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Defining Uncertainty: Concepts and Methods of Analysis in Integrated Environmental Assessment. Invited lecture at the TIAS Summerschool Integrated Assessment for Environmental Management, Osnabrück 26 July 2004.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Taming the uncertainty monster. Invited seminar at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, 2 Juli 2004.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Multidimensional Uncertainty Assessment for Complex Environmental Risks. Invited lecture at the Altenberg Seminar in Theoretical Biology: Living Dangerously, Coping with Risk and Uncertainty in Complex Biological Systems, Konrad Lorenz Institute for Evolution and Cognition Research, Altenberg, Austria, 1 Juli 2004

J.P. van der Sluijs, "Insights from the Symposium Uncertainty and Precaution in Environmental Management", Invited plenary keynote at the International Environmental Modeling and Software Society 2004 conference, Osnabrück, 17 June 2004.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Quicksandy knowledge bases: coping with mixtures of knowledge and ignorance in environmental assessment. Invited keynote in opening session of the international symposium Uncertainty and Precaution in Environmental Management, Copenhagen 7-9 June 2004

Quicksandy Knowledge Bases: The need for guidance for dealing with uncertainty, assumptions and value commitments in environmental assessment. Invited key-note lecture at the International Workshop Interfaces between Science and Society, Milano, 27-28 November 2003

Guidance for Uncertainty Assessment and Communication. Invited presentation at the European Environmental Agency (EEA) workshop on Uncertainty Guidance, Copenhagen, 22 October 2003.

Uncertain Knowledge Bases, Invited presentation at the Harmoni-CA CatchMod Technical Workshop Advancing Project Interactions in Catchment Modelling,, Amsterdam, 17 September 2003

Towards a Synthesis of Qualitative and Quantitative Uncertainty Assessment: Applications of the Numeral, Unit, Spread, Assessment, Pedigree (NUSAP) System. Invited key note presentation at the: International Workshop on Uncertainty, Sensitivity and Parameter Estimation for Multimedia Environmental Modeling, Interagency Steering Committee on Multi Media Environmental Modeling, Rockville MD, USA, August 19-21 2003,

'Dutch guidelines for uncertainty scanning and assessment'. Invited key-note lecture at the Workshop of the UN/ECE Task Force on Integrated Assessment Modelling: Uncertainty Treatment in Integrated Assessment Modelling, January 24-25, 2002, EMEP Center for Integrated Assessment Modelling (CIAM) at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) Laxenburg, Austria.

' Uncertainty assessment VOC-emissions from paint'. Invited Lecture presented to the Knowledge Assessment and Sensitivity Analysis groups of the EC Joint Research Center at Ispra, Itali, Februari 8, 2001.

'The inclusion of stakeholder perspectives in Integrated Assessment of Climate Change' Invited presentation at the Euro Conference Implementation and Limits of Interdisciplinarity in European Technology Assessment", 13-15 Sept 2000, Bad Neuenahr, Germany

'Uncertainty and Quality in Integrated Environmental Assessment: The NUSAP system', Invited speaker at the EU-Advanced Course in Decision Tools and Processes for Integrated Environmental Assessment, Barcelona, September 20- October 1 1999.

'Uncertainty and Quality in Environmental Assessment'. Invited Plenary Key-note lecture, SETAC-Europe Annual Meeting, Bordeaux , 14-18 April 1998.


9.2 Other lectures and oral presentations

J.P. van der Sluijs, Indicators of academic performance: SENSE and nonsense, Lunch Colloquium at the division Science technology and Society, Utrecht University, 22 March 2010, Utrecht.

J.P. van der Sluijs, J.A. Wardekker, and E. Kunseler, Preliminary results of the expert survey on adaptation options, workshop "Policy Options for Climate Change and Health", 11-12 January 2010, WHO, Bonn

J.P. van der Sluijs and J.A. Wardekker, Expert survey on adaptation options, workshop "Policy Options for Climate Change and Health", 11-12 January 2010, WHO, Bonn

J.A. Wardekker, J.P. van der Sluijs and L. van Bree, Findings of the Dutch expert survey on 'climate change, health and uncertainties' Workshop "Policy Options for Climate Change and Health", 11-12 January 2010, WHO, Bonn

Jeroen van der Sluijs, Bijensterfte: Oorzaken, gevolgen, maatregelen. Presentatie tijdens persconferentie ter gelegenheid van de aanbieding van de petitie Stop de Bijensterfte aan de vaste Kamercommissie LNV, Nieuwspoort, Den Haag, 24 November 2009.

Jeroen van der Sluijs, Risicoinschattingen EMV Hoogspanningslijnen en kinderleukemie: Kritische reflectie op de aannamen, lecture at the expert workshop "Risicoinschattingen van Elektromagnetische Velden van Hoogspanningslijnen", Utrecht University, 16 November 2009, Utrecht.

Jeroen van der Sluijs, Honeybee decline, causes and effects, Lunch lecture at the division Science technology and Society, Utrecht University, 19 October 2009, Utrecht.

Jeroen van der Sluijs, Bijensterfte: oorzaken en gevolgen, Lecture on invitation of the Leiden Beekeeper association (Leidse Imkervereniging), 25 September 2009 Cronesteijn, Leiden

Jeroen de Hartog, Anne Knol, Hanna Boogaard, Pauline Slottje, Jeroen van der Sluijs, Erik Lebret, Flemming Cassee, Arjan Wardekker, Jon Ayres, Paul Borm, Bert Brunekreef, Ken Donaldson, Francesco Forastiere, Stephen Holgate, Wolfgang Kreyling, Benoit Nemery, Juha Pekkanen, Vicky Stone, Erich Wichmann, Gerard Hoek, Expert elicitation on health effects related to exposure to ultrafine particles: likelihood of causality and causal pathways, oral presentation at the International Society for Environmental Epidemiology Annual General Meeting - 2009 (ISEE 2009) Dublin, 26-29 August 2009.

Hanna Boogaard, Gerard Hoek, Anne Knol, Jeroen de Hartog, Pauline Slottje, Jon G Ayres, Paul Borm, Bert Brunekreef, Ken Donaldson, Francesco Forastiere, Stephen Holgate, Wolfgang G. Kreyling, Benoit Nemery, Juha Pekkanen, Vicky Stone, Erich Wichmann, Jeroen van der Sluijs, Concentration response functions for ultrafine particles and all-cause mortalilty and hospital admissions: results of an European expert panel elicitation, oral presentation at the International Society for Environmental Epidemiology Annual General Meeting - 2009 (ISEE 2009) Dublin, 26-29 August 2009.

Wardekker, JA., P. Westerlaan, J.P. van der Sluijs, P.A. Verweij, A. de Jong (2009). "Klimaatadaptatie: Veerkracht in het Waddengebied". Presentation at the workshop "Veerkrachtige Wadden, natuurlijk!", Utrecht University, Utrecht, 26 June 2009.

Hanna Boogaard, Gerard Hoek, Anne Knol, Jeroen de Hartog, Pauline Slottje, Jeroen P. van der Sluijs, "Expert panel: health effects of ultrafine particles", lecture at the APHECOM general meeting, 8 May 2009, Vienna.

J.P. van der Sluijs, "Expert Judgement and uncertainty" lecture at the APHECOM general meeting, 7 May 2009, Vienna.

J.P. van der Sluijs, "Onzekerheid en klimaatadaptatie", presentation at the Workshop Veerkracht van Natuur - van Vaag naar Meetbaar, 22 April 2009, PBL Bilthoven.

Joop de Boer, J. Arjan Wardekker, Jeroen P. van der Sluijs, Frame-based guide to situated decision-making on climate change. Paper presented at the IARU International Scientific Congress on Climate Change: Global Risks, Challenges and Decisions, Copenhagen, 12 March 2009.

J.P. van der Sluijs, "Expert Judgement and uncertainty", presentation at the IRAS-RIVM-INTARESE Expert Workshop on Ultrafine Particles and Health, Utrecht, 25 August 2008.

J.P. van der Sluijs, "Quantification of uncertain quantities using subjective probability distributions" presentation at the IRAS-RIVM-INTARESE Expert Workshop on Ultrafine Particles and Health, Utrecht, 26 August 2008.

J.P. van der Sluijs, "APHEKOM WP7 Knowledge Quality Assessment: Interactive Online Tool for discussions of uncertainties and indicators in evaluating APHIAs in Europe", presentation at APHEKOM first meeting, organized by the Department of Environmental Health, French Institute of Public Health Surveillance (InVS), Paris, 1-2 July 2008.

J.P. van der Sluijs, "Energy and Global Change: Dealing with Risks and Uncertainties". Plenary presentation at the conference: Changing Relations between Science and Society, celebrating the 20th anniversary of the department of Science, Technology and Society, Utrecht University, 1988 - 2008. Utrecht 16 April 2008

J.P. van der Sluijs, invited forum member at the conference: Changing Relations between Science and Society, celebrating the 20th anniversary of the department of Science, Technology and Society, Utrecht University, 1988 - 2008. Utrecht 16 April 2008

J.P. van der Sluijs, "Veerkrachtig Rotterdam, Klimaatverandering als uitdaging", opening lecture at the workshop Veerkrachtig Rotterdam, Klimaatverandering als uitdaging, Rotterdam, 19 March 2008

Wardekker, J.A., A.C. Petersen, J.P. van der Sluijs (2007). "Religious positions on climate change and climate policy in the United States". International Conference "Communicating Climate Change: Discourses, Mediations and Perceptions", University of Minho, Braga, Portugal, 19-20 November 2007.

C. Keizer, A. Ramírez, J.P. Van der Sluijs (2007) "Uncertainty Ranges and Correlations Assumed in Tier 2 Studies of Several European Countries", Paper accepted for the 2nd International Workshop on Uncertainty in Greenhouse Gas Inventories, IIASA, Vienna, Austria, 27-28 September 2007

A. Ramírez, C. de Keizer, J.P. Van der Sluijs, J. Olivier, L. Brandes (2007) "Monte Carlo Analysis of Uncertainties in the Netherlands' Greenhouse Gas Emission Inventory for 1990-2004", Paper accepted for the 2nd International Workshop on Uncertainty in Greenhouse Gas Inventories, IIASA, Vienna, Austria, 27-28 September 2007

J.P. van der Sluijs, F. Yavuz, J. Koorneef, and W.C. Turkenburg (2007), "Useless arithmetic" or "the best of our knowledge"? Does probabilistic risk assessment of long-term geological storage of CO2 make sense?. Presentation at the 3rd Risk Assessment Network Meeting, organised by IEA Greenhouse Gas R&D Programme, London 15-16 August 2007

J.P. van der Sluijs and J.M. Douguet, Knowledge quality assessment: from diagnostic tools to enlarged deliberative process. Paper presented at The Ninth Biennial Conference of The International Society for Ecological Economics on Ecological Sustainability and Human Well-being , December 16-18, 2006, India Habitat Centre, New Delhi, India.

L. Maxim, and J.P. van der Sluijs, multicausality: from science to discourse. Evidence from a French case study. Paper presented at The Ninth Biennial Conference of The International Society for Ecological Economics on Ecological Sustainability and Human Well-being , December 16-18, 2006, India Habitat Centre, New Delhi, India.

J.P. van der Sluijs, " Uncertainties in Environmental Health Risk Assessment ", invited guest lecture in the education program "European Public Health", University of Maastricht, Maastricht, 22 November 2006.

J.P. van der Sluijs, "Uncertainty Methods". Invited guest lecture in the MSc Course "Research methods" of the master programmes "management, policy-analysis and entrepreneurschip in health and life science" and "international public health", Free University of Amsterdam, 22 September 2006.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Towards a common understanding of the Precautionary Principle, oral presentation (3 Sept. 2006) at the International Conference on Environmental Epidemiology & Exposure, jointly organised by the International Society for Environmental Epidemiology (ISEE) and the International Society of Exposure Analysis (ISEA), Paris, France, 2-6 September 2006.

J.P. van der Sluijs, The need for guidance for dealing with uncertainty, assumptions and value commitments in environment and health assessment, oral presentation (4 Sept. 2006) at the International Conference on Environmental Epidemiology & Exposure, jointly organised by the International Society for Environmental Epidemiology (ISEE) and the International Society of Exposure Analysis (ISEA), Paris, France, 2-6 September 2006.

J.P. van der Sluijs, The NUSAP method for uncertainty management, Guest lecture in the MSc course Integrated Environmental Assessment: Pollution Management . Wageningen, 11 January 2006.

J.P. van der Sluijs, "Communiceren over onzekere kennis", Workshop: Evaluatie onzekerheidscommunicatie MNP Milieubalans 2005 - doelgroep beleidmakers", Department of Science, Technology and Society, Utrecht University, Den Haag, 15 December 2005.

J.P. van der Sluijs "Uncertainty communication", Expert Workshop Uncertainty in Health Risks of Particulate Matter, Utrecht Policy Laboratory, Utrecht, 20 May 2005.

J.P. van der Sluijs, "The Precautionary Principle", lecture at "Colloque Incertitude et Environnement, 17e journées Scientifiques de la Société d' Écologie Humaine", organized by "La Société d Ecologie Humaine" and "Université de la Méditerranée Site d Arles (DESMID) et Site de Nice", Arles, 23-25 November, 2005.

J.P. van der Sluijs, The NUSAP method for uncertainty management, Guest lecture in the MSc course Integrated Environmental Assessment: Pollution Management . Wageningen, 14 January 2005.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Experiences with the NUSAP system for multidimensional uncertainty assessment in Model based Foresight Studies. Presentation at the International symposium Uncertainty and Precaution in Environmental Management, Copenhagen 7-9 June 2004

Towards multi-dimensional uncertainty assessment for complex environmental problems. Presentation in the break-out session on “Uncertainty, Assumptions and Value Commitments in Environmental Assessment” at the International Workshop Interfaces between Science and Society, Milano, 27-28 November 2003.

Uncertainty in Integrated Assessment. Guest lecture in the MSc Course Intergated Assessment of the International Master Integrated Assessment of the universities of Twente and Osnabruck, Enschede, 6 November 2003.

RIVM/MNP Guidance for Uncertainty Assessment and communication" Presentation at the Mini-symposium "The management of uncertainty in risk science and policy", World Congress on Risk, Brussels, 22-25 June 2003.

The NUSAP method for uncertainty management, Guest lecture in the MSc course “Integrated Environmental Assessment: Pollution Management”. Wageningen, 15 januari 2003.

Management of Uncertainty in Science for Sustainability: research challenges for Europe. FP6 launch side-workshop "Management of Uncertainty in Science for Sustainability, future research challenges for Europe", "European Research 2002, The European Research Area and the Framework Programme", Brussels, 11-12-13 November 2002.

Onzekerheidsanalyse Emissiecijfers verzuring, resultaten expertbervraging. Presentatie voor de Wergroep Emissie Monitoring (WEM), Utrecht, 17 December 2002.

Onzekerheidsanalyse Emissiecijfers verzuring van de Emissiemonitor: briefing expertbevraging. Presentatie voor de Wergroep Emissie Monitoring (WEM), Utrecht, 19 September 2002.

Onzekerheidsanalyse Emissiecijfers verzuring van de Emissiemonitor: plan van aanpak. Presentatie voor de Wergroep Emissie Monitoring (WEM), Utrecht, 30 juli 2002.

Uncertainty management in complex models: the NUSAP method, IEMSS 2002 Conference Integrated Assessment and Decision Support, , Lugano, Switzerland, 24-27 June 2002.

RIVM Leidraad voor Omgaan met Onzekerheden, SENSE symposium 2002, Ede, The Netherlands, 19 June 2002

Guidance for Uncertainty Management in Environmental Assessment, User Workshop Uncertainty Guidance, RIVM, Bilthoven, 22 November 2001

'Climate risk assessment, Evaluation of approaches' Final conference of the Dutch National Research Program on Climate Change, 15 Nov 2001.

'Uncertainty assessment of the IMAGE/TIMER B1 CO2 emissions scenario using the NUSAP method' Final conference of the Dutch National Research Program on Climate Change, 15 Nov 2001.

Uncertainty Management in Environmental Assessment, Expert Workshop on Uncertainty Management, STS, Utrecht University, Utrecht, 25 October 2001

'Assessing pedigree and strength of model parameters'. Presentation at the workshop: Assessment of uncertainty and strength in the IMAGE/TIMER energy model 12-13 June 2001, Loosdrecht, The Netherlands.

Workshop: Assessment of uncertainty and strength in the IMAGE/TIMER energy model. 12-13 June 2001, Loosdrecht, The Netherlands. (Entire workshop organised and chaired by me, 19 participants from all over Europe).

'Post Normal Science, the case of climate change' Centrum voor Bioethiek, UU, 6 april 2001

'Uncertainty & the IPCC TAR' Forum contribution at the SENSE Ph.D. Course 'Environmental Research in Context', Arnhem, 30 maart 2001.

'Uncertainty Asessment VOC emissions from paint', Lunchpauzelezing RIVM, Bilthoven, 22 maart 2001

 'Uncertainy and Scales in IAMs' presentation at the EFIEA Matrix Workshop "Scaling Issues in Integrated Assessment, 12-19 July 2000, Mechelen, Netherlands.

'Uncertainty & Climate Change' Forum contribution at the SENSE Ph.D. Course 'Environmental Research in Context', Arnhem, 7 April 2000.

'The ULYSSES Web Tutorial on Participatory Integrated Assessment'. ULYSSES project meeting, Brussels, 10-12 March 1999.

'Using NUSAP for IAM-quality assurance', Presentation at The European Forum on Integrated Environmental Assessment (EFIEA) Workshop on Uncertainty, Baden bei Wien, Austria, July 10-18, 1999.

'Postnormale Wetenschap'. Invited speaker at the Algemene Natuurwetenschappen Studiedag "Filosofie, Natuurwetenschappen en Samenleving", Instituut voor Didactiek en Onderwijspraktijk, Free University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, December 2, 1998.

'Problem structuring in Integrated Environmental Assessment'. Presentation at the 4S/ESAC Joint Meeting, October 28 to November 1, 1998, Halifax Canada

'Uncertainties and Values in Integrated Environmental Assessment'. Invited guest lecture at the SENSE AIO-course Global Change, Free University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, November 24, 1998

'Risk management under uncertainty'. Short presentation at the IPCC Expert meeting on Risk Management, 30 April - 1 May 1998, Toronto.

'Consensusvorming in het Klimaatdebat'. Invited lecture at Fysica '98, Jaarvergadering Nederlandse Vereniging van Natuurkundigen, Delft, April 21, 1998.

'Post Normal Science'. Invited lecture, Filosofische kring van de KNCV, Utrecht, April 2 1998.

'Uncertainty and Subjectivity in Integrated Environmental Assessment', Forum contribution at the First Workshop of the European Forum on Integrated Environmental Assessment, WTC, Amsterdam, 12-14 March 1998.

'Anchoring Amid Uncertainty' Invited lecture at the KNMI (KNMI Colloquium series), De Bilt, December 2, 1997.

Review-presentation of A. Liberatore's paper Facing Global Warming: The Interactions between Science and Policy Making in the European Community. Workshop Knowledge Power and Participation in Environmental Policy, Leiden, September 18-20.

Interview in the TELEAC television program Kwintessens, aflevering "Het Broeikaseffect, Wetenschap als Orakel". January 15, 1997 (this program has been rebroadcasted several times since).

'Uncertainty Management in Integrated Assessment Models by NUSAP-Informed Delphic Uncertainty Ranking'. Presentation at the International Symposium on Prospects for Integrated Assessment: Lessons Learnt from the Case of Climate Change, EC-DG-XII, Toulouse, October 26, 1996;

'Uncertainty and Complexity in Integrated Assessment Models of the Greenhouse Effect'. Presentation at the International Conference on "Climate Change, Cataclysmic Risk and Fairness", IIASA/LOS, Laxenburg, July 22, 1996.

'Uncertainty Management in Integrated Assessment Models'. Presentation at the Mid-Summer Workshop of the Young Scientist Summer Program, IIASA/YSSP, Laxenburg, July 17, 1996.

'Some Reflections on Expert Advice for Rational and Informed Policy Making'. Presentation at the Young Scientists Summer Program Symposium on Scientific Expertise, IIASA/YSSP, Laxenburg, July 26, 1996.

'De CO2 Mythe, een Reactie'. Forumcontribution, Geochemische Kring, Utrecht, May 11, 1995.

'Omgaan met Onzekerheden in Geïntegreerde Klimaatmodellen'. Presentation at the Zesde jaarlijkse marktdag voor Sociaal-Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek Milieu en Energie, SISWO, Den Haag, April 13, 1995.

'Inertie in de Beleidsgeorienteerde Adviespraktijk Betreffende het Klimaatvraagstuk'. Presentation at the Vijfde jaarlijkse marktdag voor Sociaal-Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek Milieu en Energie, SISWO, Utrecht, March 29, 1994.

Modellen van de Lange Termijn Koolstofcyclus'. Invited lecture within the College cyclus Global Change, Rijksuniversiteit Leiden, November 12, 1993.


9.3 Poster presentations

A. de Jong, J.P. van der Sluijs, J.A. Wardekker, Uncertainties in risk estimations of electromagnetic fields of overhead power lines, poster presented at the International Society for Environmental Epidemiology Annual General Meeting - 2009 (ISEE 2009) Dublin, 26-29 August 2009

Yorghos Remvikos, Sylvia Medina, Jeroen Van der Sluijs, Aphekom - The science/decision interface in Air Quality Policy: Lessons from a local multi-stakeholder process in France, poster presented at the International Society for Environmental Epidemiology Annual General Meeting - 2009 (ISEE 2009) Dublin, 26-29 August 2009

F.T. Yavuz, J. van der Sluijs, W. C. Turkenburg, C.F. Bos and T. Wildenborg, Long Term Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Underground Storage of CO2, Poster presented at 8th Netherlands Earth Science Conference, Veldhoven, Netherlands, April 24-25, 2006.

'Uncertainty assessment of the IMAGE/TIMER B1 CO2 emissions scenario using the NUSAP method' Final conference of the Dutch National Research Program on Climate Change, 15 Nov 2001.

'Climate risk assessment, Evaluation of approaches' Final conference of the Dutch National Research Program on Climate Change, 15 Nov 2001.

'Uncertainty Management in Integrated Modelling, the IMAGE Case'. Posterpresentation at the International Conference on Climate Change Research, NOP-MLK, Maastricht, December 7, 1994.

'Biogenic Feed Backs in the Carbonate Silicate Geochemical Cycle and the Global Climate'. International Conference on CO2 Chemistry, Hemavan, Zweden, September 22, 1993.

For more downloadable papers, please checkout the download section of www.nusap.net

(for the search engines: frequently used misspellings of my name include Jeroen van der Sluys, Jeroen van der Sluis, J. van der Sluys, J. van der Sluis. Correct spelling is Jeroen van der Sluijs. Thank you.)

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